By Sani Danaudi Mohammed
In some countries, a one-party system has been adopted, where a single party dominates the political landscape. Examples include China, where the Communist Party of China holds significant power, and North Korea, where the Workers’ Party of Korea is the dominant force. These countries have experienced varying degrees of economic development, with China being a notable example of rapid economic growth. However, the relationship between a one-party system and economic development is complex, and other factors such as economic policies, institutional frameworks, and global market trends also play a significant role.
In contrast, Nigeria operates a multi-party system, where several parties compete for power. The current political landscape is dominated by the All Progressives Congress (APC), which has been gaining strength with increasing defections from opposition parties such as the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Labour Party (LP), and New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP). This has led to speculation about the possibility of opposition parties forming a coalition to challenge the APC’s dominance.
The idea of a coalition between opposition parties, particularly between Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi, has been gaining traction. Such a coalition could potentially provide a strong challenge to the APC, but it would require careful negotiation and compromise between the parties involved. However, the success of such a coalition would depend on various factors, including the ability of the parties to put aside their differences and work towards a common goal.
One of the major challenges facing the opposition parties is disunity. The PDP, in particular, is currently grappling with internal crisis, with some members expressing dissatisfaction with the party’s leadership. The influence of ambitious politicians within the party is also a significant factor, with some members prioritizing their personal interests over the party’s welfare. This has led to a situation where the party’s leadership is struggling to maintain cohesion and direction.
The crisis rocking the PDP has been further complicated by the influence of powerful individuals such as Nyesom Wike, who has been accused of exerting significant control over the party. Wike’s influence has been seen as a major factor in the party’s internal conflicts, with some members questioning his motives and challenging his authority.
The political landscape in Nigeria is becoming increasingly complex, with rumors swirling about potential alliances and defections. Peter Obi’s Labour Party and Kwankwanso’s NNPP are reportedly facing internal crises, with speculation about Obi working with Atiku’s camp and Kwankwanso possibly returning to the APC. Meanwhile, the SDP appears to be working tirelessly to facilitate a coalition, while there’s talk of the ADC potentially hosting Atiku and Peter Obi.
The dynamics bear some resemblance to 2014, when various groups came together to form a united force that eventually joined the APC to defeat the PDP. However, the current situation seems more fluid, with multiple players and alliances in play. As the political landscape continues to evolve, it will be interesting to see how these developments impact the 2027 elections and the future of Nigerian politics.
The opposition in Nigeria appears to be in disarray, with infighting and conflicting interests leaving many confused. Nigerians are being led to believe that the opposition lacks cohesion and a clear direction, which may undermine their ability to present a strong challenge to the ruling party. This perceived disunity could potentially impact the opposition’s effectiveness in holding the government accountable and advocating for the country’s interests.
In developed countries, coalition politics is often used to achieve specific policy goals or to provide stability in times of crisis. For example, in Germany, the Christian Democratic Union and the Social Democratic Party have formed coalitions at the federal level to govern the country. In contrast, Nigerian politics is often characterized by intense rivalry and competition between parties, with coalition-building being a relatively rare occurrence.
The dangers of a one-party system in Nigeria are significant. Without a strong opposition, the ruling party may become complacent and unaccountable, leading to poor governance and corruption. Furthermore, a lack of competition can stifle innovation and progress, as there would be no alternative voices to challenge the status quo. In the context of Nigeria’s diverse population and complex challenges, a one-party system could exacerbate existing tensions and lead to further instability.
The possibility of the Coalition succeeding depends on various factors, including the ability of the parties to work together and the willingness of their leaders to put aside their differences. However, the dominance of ambitious politicians within the opposition parties and the internal crisis rocking the PDP pose significant challenges to the success of such a coalition. Ultimately, the future of Nigerian politics will depend on the ability of opposition parties to unite and provide a strong challenge to the ruling APC.
The proposed coalition of opposition parties in Nigeria is facing significant challenges, with various prominent figures expressing differing opinions on the matter. Former Governor of Jigawa, Sule Lamido, has dismissed rumors of him joining former Governor of Kaduna, Mallam Nasir El-Rufai, in the Social Democratic Party (SDP), which is being projected as a potential lead party for the coalition. Additionally, the PDP Governors Forum, led by Bala Mohammed of Bauchi, may also pose a challenge to the coalition, particularly if Mohammed decides to run for the presidency.
Dele Momodu, a strong ally of Atiku Abubakar, has suggested that only a strong northern candidate can defeat the All Progressives Congress (APC). However, this position may be at odds with the views of other prominent figures, such as Nyesom Wike and Peter Fayose, who have openly opposed the PDP’s chances of success with another northerner as their candidate. These differing opinions highlight the complexity and challenges of forming a coalition, particularly when it comes to deciding on a presidential candidate.
Meanwhile, Abdullahi Ganduje, the APC National Chairman, has expressed confidence in his party’s prospects, attributing the current mass exodus from opposition parties to the APC to the party’s great achievements. Interactions with prominent figures in opposition parties reveal a great deal of confusion and concern about who would be the best fit to run against President Tinubu if the coalition were to materialize. With various individuals vying for position and expressing differing opinions, the path to a successful coalition remains uncertain.
The current moves to unseat President Tinubu differ significantly from those against former President Jonathan. A key factor is that President Tinubu has not been in office for as long as Jonathan was, and his administration is still in its early stages. Additionally, the current opposition’s motivations and dynamics are distinct, with various politicians and parties jockeying for position and influence. In contrast to Jonathan’s time, the APC has a strong grip on power, and the opposition is fragmented.
If President Tinubu improves further on security and the economy, two key issues that are currently bones of contention, it could potentially weaken the opposition’s momentum. A more stable security situation and a thriving economy would likely boost Tinubu’s popularity and make it harder for the opposition to gain traction. It’s also worth considering whether Mallam Nasir El-Rufai, a former Governor of Kaduna State and key APC strategist who played a role in the party’s formation, would challenge the policies, programs, and actions of Tinubu’s administration if he were part of the government. Given his recent criticism of the APC after his failed confirmation as Minister, it’s likely that his current stance is influenced by his recent experience.
The big question surrounding the coalition is whether it’s genuinely focused on solving the lingering problems confronting Nigeria or if it’s primarily about political opportunism. Another concern is whether the coalition is presenting a new set of leaders or the same politicians who have dominated Nigerian politics since 1999. Can Nigerians trust the coalition’s leaders, who only seem to find their voices after losing out in the political arena? The answers to these questions will likely determine the coalition’s credibility and chances of success. Ultimately, Nigerians will be watching closely to see if the coalition offers a genuine alternative to the current administration or if it’s just more of the same politics as usual.
Nigeria’s current political landscape is indeed plagued by politicians who frequently switch parties without any apparent ideological convictions. This trend has led to a lack of trust and credibility in the political class. Unlike the politicians of the First Republic, who were known for their strong ideological leanings and commitment to public service, today’s politicians seem more focused on personal gain and power. The likes of Obafemi Awolowo, Nnamdi Azikiwe, Sir Tafawa Balewa, and Ahmadu Bello were driven by distinct ideologies and a desire to shape the nation’s future.
In contrast, many current politicians prioritize their individual interests over the welfare of the nation. The absence of ideological anchors has resulted in a leadership vacuum, with many politicians lacking the foresight to drive government institutions effectively. This has contributed to Nigeria’s myriad problems, including economic stagnation, insecurity, and social unrest. To move forward, Nigeria needs a new breed of leaders who are guided by a clear vision, strong ideologies, and a genuine commitment to public service. Only then can the country begin to address its deep-seated challenges and build a brighter future for its citizens.
Nigeria’s salvation lies not in a coalition of the same old politicians who have dominated the scene since 1999, but in a new generation of leaders with fresh ideas, integrity, and a genuine commitment to public service. It’s time for Nigerians to demand a new kind of leadership that puts the nation’s interests above personal ambitions and parochial loyalties. Only then can the country break free from the shackles of ineffective governance and chart a new course for prosperity and progress.
Danaudi, Writes from Bauchi via danaudicomrade@gmail.com
